Synchronicity

I have been noticing a series of interesting synchronicities lately. They were happening several times a day and each one I found surprising. Often times they match pares of two items, for example I would be making some food with two ingredients and as i’m about to pick it up and eat it a YouTube or podcast playing in the background will mention these two ingredients.

I’m getting back into a book on astral projection I made it half way through years ago. I will write a review on the book later, there are some interesting points made in it. In some ways I feel like this one particular synchronicity occurrence that follows is related in some way but I’m not sure how yet.

I went to the movie theatre with a friend last week we saw the latest Avengers End Game movie. It’s in 3D and as we walked in we both forgot to grab the 3D glasses. I looked at the ticket before hand and remember seeing that it was in 3D, I have never before in my life gone into a theatre without grabbing the glasses, I remember thinking when the movie started that’s weird, why did I do that, no big deal though the glasses are just at the door.

I think I enjoyed the movie more than my friend who had to think about it. When I got home I put on my apple TV to listen to music as I work on my laptop. At this point the apple TV is seven years old and i’m expecting it to kick the bucket any day now. The picture looked like it was bifurcating as if it was rendering the image interlaced in two locations just as a 3D movie in the theatre plays. This however is not intentional and a glitch. Special glasses won’t fix this. I thought well the Apple TV gave me a good run, at least if I buy a new one it will be a better model. I unplugged the power a few times to restart, replaced the HDMI cable, no change. Bummer, but oh well.

This is what it looked like.

The next day though it was back to normal.

I have a feeling that this means something but i’m not clear on what. The book i’m reading is describing the nature of the human mind and body complex being a set of physical, energy, astral and other bodies. Normally we are only aware of the physical body but the others are there and available if we look for them. I would guess that the symbology of 3D as it relates to viewing the world is significant? Or rather the normal world we see is like a picture on the screen but the nature of it behind the presentation is a structure or system. If this occurrence was a metaphor the theatre shows two images aided by glasses to present a 3D scene and the Apple TV was duplicating the same mechanism, being two offset images, in a way that made me take note.

As more context I have noticed that the universe often reflects back on us what we are thinking or answers questions and intentions, that is why i’m holding this weird 3D vision incident as somehow symbolic of some concept.

If you have any thoughts or impressions on this or have stories similar leave them in a comment, I’d love to hear from you.

Bitcoin Price Projection

As an experiment I wanted to see what would happen if I was to look at Bitcoins past rate of change pattern to see when the closest match occurred then take the price changes from that date and projected them forward into a hypothetical future chart.

The rate of change pattern is a plotted line of price changes day to day. The faster the price rises the higher the line will run and vice versa.

Here they are, I eventually will use multiple best match days and average them but for now, a six month pattern catches a pre bull run and projects a $79K USD price in the next few months. Although a three month pattern catches the 2013 peak and projects a decline below 5K USD before a run to $55K USD.

This is not meant to be a prediction and I would not recommend investing based on this information. It is only a thought experiment.

The six month chart doesn’t look right to my eye, I will double check the code.

The three month chart shows a price drop followed by a run in about 230 days time.

You can see in the charts that the actual data ends near the end and the rate and match lines zero out along with the dates.

This report is available at AlgoMega.com

Update:

There was an error in the way I was calculating the best pattern match. I was subtracting the current pattern from each of the historical price patterns but this doesn’t actually match the best pattern it just subtracts the current value from the historical price trends. Instead I changed the report to plot the matches using an inverted absolute value difference between the dates in the patterns. This way the best match actually finds the closest pattern. The results are much more sensible.

Here are the four month pattern results over the past eight years. It matches a peak so the subsequent price action is up a little.

These are the six month pattern results.

Obviously this is not a prediction and if you change the parameters you get different results every time. Because Bitcoin has always gone up over time these types of reports will always show a gain when projected out long enough.

Bitcoin Price Projection

I use reports at AlgoMega.com to get a sense for cyclical trends in the price of Bitcoin. Because the price has risen so significantly over the past eight years the past price history on a simple chart looks almost like a flat line but there are large scale timeline cycles that look, to me at least, somewhat predicable.

This report graph below shows the relative price drop from the last all time high. In this way we can see the price frequency trend between lows every few years and new highs. The price difference between these highs and lows is very significant and a trading strategy that buys during the most extreme levels of relative depth and small sells during high run ups in price as shown on another graph that plots the rate of rise over time should be relatively safe.

I’m posting this update today because while the estimated next all time high date is projected to be really soon, December of this year. The date fluctuates a lot between 2020 and sometimes out to 2021. This date is calculated by looking back through history where the trend is the same, price going up or price going down, and the relative position from the last high is the same and averaging the number of days until the subsequent all time high. I.e. this attempts to project the next all time high assuming the cyclical trend continues. Even if there isn’t a new all time high my prediction is that the price will cycle on a multi year time scale that can be traded. This next all time high date would project the time when the price will reach the past peak of $20,000.00.

Some guesses as to what the price will do after the next all time high follow:

Average gain rate: 6.87
Peak gain rate: 57.35
Last low price: $3303.81 USD
Future average price: $22700.37 USD
Next peak price: $189468.81 USD
Conservative peak price: $132628.17 USD (70% of peak rate)

Of course anything is possible and any future uptrend will depend on a wide variety of factors.